Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 3 / 2008 (520)
The Estimation of the Structural Budgetary Deficit for Romania in the Context of Accession to the Euro Zone
Bogdan Chiriacescu
Academia de Studii Economice, Bucuresti
Abstract. Romania is preparing to enter a superior stage of integration - the admission in the euro zone. In this context, the study estimates the structural budgetary deficit, considering it as being one of the most relevant indicators to evaluate the performance of the fiscal management, as well as the degree to which the Romanian fiscal policy is ready to act as a single instrument capable of stabilizing the national economy after the Euro zone admission. The paper is structured as follows: (i) estimating the potential GDP and the output gap by the production function approach and by using the Hodrick-Prescott filter; (ii) estimating the budgetary cyclical deficit based on the sensitivity of the deficit (using the elasticities of government revenues and expenditures in relation to GDP) and the level of the output gap and, afterwards, the structural budgetary component; (iii) conclusions and recommendations.
Contents
Tendencies in the Regional Industry and Specialisation in Romania during the Transition Period
The Estimation of the Structural Budgetary Deficit for Romania in the Context of Accession to the Euro Zone
Malmquist Index, an Alternative Technique for Measuring Credit Institutions Productivity
Sustainability and Dissipative Systems
Perspectives of Collective Investment Undertakings Market
Optimization of Management Decision by Network Method used for Chipboards Manufacturing
Intellectual Capital and Intangible Assets Analysis and Valuation
International Migration and its Effects on Family