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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2021 (629), Winter

The pandemic crisis – A new factor to slow down the expansion of the Eurozone

Iulian Nicolae VASILOIU
"Costin C. Kiriţescu" National Institute for Economic Research, Romanian Academy, Romania

Abstract. The pandemic crisis from 2020-2021 has produced negative effects on the economies of six European Union (EU) member states outside the Eurozone: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Poland, Hungary, and Romania. This paper presents the economic and social situation in the aforementioned states, before the pandemic started in Europe and after the Sars-Cov-2 infection rates began to drop, and many restrictions previously imposed on tourism, hospitality, culture, sports and free movement were lifted. The paper highlights whether the Maastricht Treaty nominal convergence criteria were met or not by Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Poland, Hungary, and Romania, as they represent an important pillar of joining the Eurozone; the paper also analyzes the real convergence – especially the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, calculated to the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). The pandemic crisis, as well as some misunderstandings at EU level, have led Romania, Czechia, Poland, and Hungary to postpone adopting the Euro, as the latter 3 states did not even set a Eurozone joining deadline. Yet, some progress has been made by Bulgaria and Croatia, as they included their national currency in the Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM II) starting July 10, 2020.

Keywords: convergence criteria, GDP per capita, regional gross domestic product, Euro area.

Contents

1

The pandemic crisis – A new factor to slow down the expansion of the Eurozone

Iulian Nicolae VASILOIU

2

Revealing the effects of competitiveness and innovation on economic growth: Evidence from European leading and following countries

Lejla TERZIĆ

3

Public service delivery dilemma and economic growth challenges in the MENA Region

Siham MATALLAH · Lahouari BENLAHCENE

4

Hidden Markov Model using transaction patterns for ATM card fraud detection

E.B. NKEMNOLE · A.A. AKINSETE

5

Productivity growth in Chinese cities: The agglomeration effect for cross-regional industrial structures

Yuanjun GE · Fa-Hsiang CHANG

6

Time-varying volatility spillover of foreign exchange rate in three Asian markets: Based on DCC-GARCH approach

Mohini GUPTA · Purwa SRIVASTAVA · Amritkant MISHRA · Malayaranjan SAHOO

7

Non-linear effect of public debt on economic growth: The case of Tunisia

Ahmed MAAROUFI · Ghazi BOULILA

8

Application of single Sharpe index on the optimal portfolio construction using Indian blue-chip stocks

Debajit RABHA · Rajkumar Giridhari SINGH

9

Budget policy, economic cycle and debt in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries: Empirical evidence based on a regime change model

Sèwanoudé Honoré HOUNGBEDJI

10

The impact of government spending on the economic growth of a sample of developing countries using panel data

Amine TAMMAR

11

The evolution of consumer prices – the main brake on economic growth

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL · Ștefan Virgil IACOB

12

Analysis of income inequalities in the pre-pandemic COVID-19 period

Amalia CRISTESCU · Larisa STĂNILĂ · Eva MILITARU