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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2015 (603), Summer

A study of the impossible trinity in Romania

Bogdan BĂDESCU
Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania

Abstract. Using a VECM and a Taylor type rule it was shown that the central bank kept the autonomy of the monetary policy as the policy rate was modeled primarily based on the evolution of the inflation rate. Forgoing the exchange rate stability is not possible due to the large volume of foreign currency loans and also to other factors. The inclusion in the central bank’s objective function of a variable linked to the exchange rate may cause a conflict between inflation targeting and exchange rate management. Therefore, the best approach seems to be the use, in addition to the policy rate instrument, also of FX interventions. As for the liberalization of capital flows, the decision is at least questionable, given that, on one hand, foreign capital ended up holding a significant share in the economic activity and on the other, the macroprudential measures that authorities began to implement might have limited effects.

Keywords: trilemma, monetary policy, exchange rate, policy rate, capital flows, Taylor rule.

Contents

1

Instruments and practices concerning the absorption and use of structural and cohesion funds in Romania

Ani MATEI · Carmen SĂVULESCU

2

Foreign direct investment and income inequality in Central and Eastern Europe

Svilena MIHAYLOVA

3

Exports – trends and impacts on Romania’s economic growth process

Anca Maria GHERMAN · George ȘTEFAN

4

Innovation and regional performance in Romania

Anca DACHIN · Constantin POSTOIU

5

A multidisciplinary approach of communication

Delia Mioara POPESCU · Ion PÂRGARU · Constanța POPESCU · Daniel MIHAI

6

The issue of “true” money in front of the BitCoin's offensive

Angela ROGOJANU · Liana BADEA

7

Public choice and the social beneficiary

Mariana IOVIȚU · Florina BRAN

8

Stock market – economy growth nexus in an emerging country. The case of Romania

Delia-Elena DIACONAŞU

9

Determinants of savings in the APEC countries

Kivanç Halil ARIÇ

10

The status of Romanian agriculture and some measures to take

Mirela Ionela ACELEANU · Anca Gabriela MOLĂNESCU · Liliana CRĂCIUN · Cristina VOICU

11

Education and society: an institutional approach

Marius-Cristian PANĂ

12

Financial audit – feckless for economic re-launch

Elena DOBRE · Laura BRAD

13

Empirical evidence on the Ricardian equivalence in Romania

Daniel BELINGHER · Nicolae MOROIANU

14

Minimum wage – labour market rigidity factor

Andreea Claudia ȘERBAN · Mirela Ionela ACELEANU

15

Regional convergence. Case of Romania

Elena Raluca MOISESCU (DUICAN)

16

The exchange rate volatility in the Central and Eastern European Countries

Bogdan Andrei DUMITRESCU · Silvia Maria ROȘCA

17

A study of the impossible trinity in Romania

Bogdan BĂDESCU

18

Governance process improvement and development by audit consolitation

Adelina DUMITRESCU PECULEA

19

Analysis of the evolution of foreign direct investment in the European Union, amid the global economic crisis

Marinela GEAMĂNU

20

Types of international cooperation at the local level Bucharest city hall case study

Mirela MINCĂ

21

Short-run determinants of the USD/PLN exchange rate and policy implications

Yu HSING

22

The use of behavioral economics in promoting public policy

Alina Maria NEAȚU

23

New paradigms imposed by the global financial crisis

Ioana Andrada MOLDOVAN (GAVRIL)

24

Are financial audit elements and corporate governance policies solutions for the economic crisis?

Florin DOBRE

25

The kids are alright? A note on parental satisfaction in Germany

Stephan HUMPERT

26

Technological revolution, labor markets and income distribution in the knowledge economy

Ioana Cristina FLORESCU

27

The effects of competition regulations on mobile telecommunication markets

Ioan Lucian ALEXA

28

National convergence policy in education. Case study Romania

Madlena NEN