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Peer-reviewed articles in economics, finance, public policy, and sustainable development.

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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 3 / 2020 (624), Autumn

Analysis of the impact generated by COVID-19 in banking institutions and possible economic effects

Nora CHIRIȚĂ
Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania
Ionuț NICA
Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania

Abstract. From the perspective of early warning and the effects generated by the COVID-19 pandemic, this article deals with the impact that the COVID-19 pandemic has on the banking network. The 2019-nCoV coronavirus epidemic began in the Chinese city of Wuhan, which spread across the country and later in a very short period of time in several states, being seen as a global contagion effect that causes a large concern. The first part of the case study highlights that the behavior of agents greatly impacts the decisions they will make and this can cause financial and economic imbalances. The financial impact of coronavirus goes beyond the worst old scenarios, building the ideal framework for a possible economic crisis. Economic changes and their effects have also affected the stock markets. This is also analyzed in the first part of the case study and through the IT solution NetLogo we simulated the contagious economic effect that can be transmitted in the economy of a country that is built on the interactions between several economic agents, such as businesses, banks, institutions and even the government of a country. In the analysis performed in the second part of the case study, we collected data on the following stock market indices: S & P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, FTSE but also indices related to the banking groups that include both Raiffeisen Bank Romania and Romanian Commercial Bank and we analyzed these data in the Altreva Adaptive software.

Keywords: COVID-19, stock market, banking institutions, NetLogo, Altreva Adaptive Modeler.

Contents

1

Social protection systems and economic growth

Dorina GHEȚAN · Ada PAIERELE

2

Analysis of the impact generated by COVID-19 in banking institutions and possible economic effects

Nora CHIRIȚĂ · Ionuț NICA

3

Covid crisis: Fiscal, monetary and macro-financial policy responses

Provash Kumer SARKER

4

Simulation of financial contagion effect using the NetLogo software at the level of the banking network

Ionuț NICA

5

Impact of education and government effectiveness on the shadow economy

Sorina Emanuela ȘTEFONI · Andreea DRAGHIA

6

Financial development and income inequality: An empirical analysis on the emerging market economies

Günay ÖZCAN

7

Aspects and evolutions specific to monetary policy in Romania. A complex topical analysis

· Alin Ioan CREŢU · Laurențiu TEȘCAN

8

Foreign trade policy and economic growth: Indian evidence

Subrata ROY

9

The effect of external debt on long run economic growth in developing economies: Evidence from heterogeneous panel data models with cross sectional dependency

Muhammed BENLI

10

Structural modeling of fiscal structure for policy analysis: A case study of India

Rajbhushan J NAYAK · Vishwanath PANDIT · Gopakumar K. U

11

Macroeconomic variables and market expectations: Indian Stock Market

Neha GUPTA · Arya KUMAR

12

Relationship analysis of stocks prices and exchange rates of three leading Asian economies

ANISHA · AASTHA KHERA

13

Bitcoins as a determinant of stock market movements: A comparison of Indian and Chinese Stock Markets

Pritpal Singh BHULLAR · Dyal BHATNAGAR

14

The causal relationship between Indian energy consumption and the GDP: A shift from conservation to feedback hypothesis post economic liberalisation

Saakshi CHAUHAN · Rajnish PANDE · Subrat SHARMA

15

The dependence and dynamic correlation between Islamic and conventional insurances and stock market: A multivariate short memory approach

Rym Charef El ANSARI · Riadh El ABED

16

Does exchange rate has any impact on economic growth in India? An empirical analysis

Khulsum SHAIK · Babu RAO G

17

Corruption, technological innovation and environmental quality in South Asian countries: An empirical insight

Malayaranjan SAHOO · Deeptimayi SAHOO

18

Analysis of the quarterly evolution of the Gross Domestic Product

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL · Ștefan Virgil IACOB · Tudor SAMSON

19

The main theoretical aspects regarding the capital adequacy models

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Dana Luiza GRIGORESCU · Ștefan Gabriel DUMBRAVĂ

20

Considerations regarding the effects of COVID-19 on the tourism market

Cristina-Andrada BABA · Aurelia-Felicia STĂNCIOIU · Manuela Rozalia GABOR · Florin-Alexandru ALEXE · Flavia Dana OLTEAN · Alexandra Cristina DINU