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Peer-reviewed articles in economics, finance, public policy, and sustainable development.

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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2021 (627), Summer

Causal relationship between agricultural exports and economic growth: a diagnostic approach

Ankit CHHIKARA
Chaudhary Ranbir Singh University, Jind
Laurel PASRICHA
Kurukshetra University, Kurukshetra

Abstract. This study attempts to investigate the causal relationship that exists between agricultural exports and economic growth for the time period starting from 1992-93 to 2018-19. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has been used as the proxy of the economic growth. The study applied the unit root testing for checking the stationarity of the data which comes out to be integrated at level 2. The study used Johansen co-integration test to understand if there is any co-integration between the two variables of the study i.e. agricultural exports and economic growth. Vector Error Correction Model has been used to know if there is short run or long run causality between them. The results revealed that there is short run causality between the taken variables when GDP is taken as independent and agricultural exports as dependent variable but not vice-versa. Granger-Causality test shows that there is unidirectional causality running from gross domestic product to exports of agricultural products. The study would help in policy formulation in a way that gives boost to economic growth and thus the agricultural exports.

Keywords: causality, agricultural exports, economic growth.

Contents

1

The impact of non-banking financial markets on economic development

Ioana Raluca ANDREI

2

The effect of financial liberalization on Malaysian economic growth

Amani AZZOUZA

3

Causal relationship between agricultural exports and economic growth: a diagnostic approach

Ankit CHHIKARA · Laurel PASRICHA

4

COVID-19 and CAPM: a tale of reference dependence with the pharma stocks’ returns

Paritosh Chandra SINHA · Pooja AGARWAL

5

Statistical analysis on population ageing

Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL · Dragoș-Alexandru HAȘEGAN

6

An impulse response function analysis of the impact of modern payment technologies on money demand in Nigeria

Tersoo IORNGURUM · Godwin NWAOBI

7

Statistical analysis on the evolution of economic activity in Romania

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Cristian Marius RĂDUȚ · Laura CONSTANTIN

8

Determinants of trade flows to Agadir Agreement countries: gravity model three-way approach

Sadok ACHOUR · Dr. Fatima HADJI

9

Case study: The impact on the Romanian State Budget in the case of EU adoption of the CCCTB Directive

Răzvan V. BALABAN

10

Public expenditure and economic development: New evidence from the BRICS-SAARC-ASEAN region

Mohd Arshad ANSARI · Faraz KHAN · Manish Kumar SINGH

11

The external debt burden and economic growth in Africa: a panel data analysis

Manamba EPAPHRA · William MESIET

12

What explains the real exchange rate movement for the BRICS nations? With a separate analysis for Indian economy

Hariom ARORA

13

Export supporting strategy, distance to frontier and economic growth

Birgit KIRSCHBAUM-BEHL

14

Volatility Forecasting, Market Efficiency and Effect of Recession of SRI Indices

Subrata ROY

15

The impact of taxation on growth: the case of Greece

Athanasios ANASTASIOU · Vasiliki KREMASTIOTI