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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 7 / 2011 (560)

Characteristics of Criteria for Selecting Investment Projects under Uncertainty

Dan ARMEANU
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
Adrian ENCIU
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
Dorina POANTA
Romania Banking Institute

Abstract. Within financial theory and practice, there are used five main criteria for selecting investment projects: the net present value (NPV) criterion, the internal rate of return (IRR) criterion, the return term (RT) criterion, the profitability ratio (PR) criterion and the supplementary return (SR) criterion. The assay will emphasize several new properties of said indexes for investment assessment, having as starting point the hypotheses of (approximately) normal repartition of cash-flows generated by an investment project. The obtained results point to the fact that the NPV indexes (the analysis of this criterion was carried out in the article “The NPV Criterion for Valuing Investments under Uncertainty”, Daniel Armeanu, Leonard Lache, Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research no. 4/2009, pp. 133-143), IRR, PR, RT and SR register normal repartitions, therefore simplifying the investment analysis under economic uncertainty, by the capacity of building confidence intervals and assessing probabilities for the inferior limits of said investment assessment indexes.

Keywords: internal rate of return; cash flow; topical rate; uncertainty; normal repartition; confidence interval; mathematical expectation; square mean deviation of the net present value.

Contents

The Decline of Modernity
Marin Dinu
1

Characteristics of Criteria for Selecting Investment Projects under Uncertainty

Dan ARMEANU · Adrian ENCIU · Dorina POANTA

2

Online Services Management Support for an Intelligent Locality

Lorena BĂTĂGAN · Adrian POCOVNICU

3

The Meanings of “Made in Romania” among the Romanian Consumers

Cătălin Mihail BARBU

4

Forms and Strategies of the Banks to Enter on a Foreign Market

Nicoleta HURDUC · Alin NIŢU

5

Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market: The Case of the Czech Republic

Yu HSING

6

The European Recovery Economic Plan and Quality of Public Finances – Instruments for Monitoring and Improving Fiscal and Economic Systems

Mircea SOROCEANU · Carolina Daniela LUPAŞCU (SOROCEANU)

7

An Optimization of the Risk Management using Derivatives

Ovidiu ŞONTEA · Ion STANCU

8

Towards to the Respiritualization of the Economics

Constantin POPESCU · Mihaela COMĂNESCU

9

Financial Crisis from the Trust and Loss Aversion Perspective in Emerging Romanian Capital Market

Antoniade-Ciprian ALEXANDRU · Nicoleta CARAGEA

10

The Contribution of the Neo-Schumpeterian Approach to the Development of the Economic Theory: Emphasis on the Meso-Economic Level

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11

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12

The Rethinking of the Economic Activity Based on Principles of Eco-Efficiency

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13

The Correlation between the Conceptual System of the Political Economy and that of the Accountancy – a Solution for Reducing the Risks Connected to the Administration Activities in any Stage of the Economic

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