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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2011 (555)

Economic Crises and the Complexity of Animal Spirits Modeling

Grigore PIROŞCĂ
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies

Abstract. The rationale of this research goes into the origins of the economic crises from a different way of economic thinking, hence the professional interest on bringing again into the light the concept of animal spirits, used for the first time from classic liberals like David Hume, developed by doctrine founder John Maynard Keynes, and captured as groundbreaking economic crisis hypothesis in Nobel Prize laureates’ books like George Akerlof. A familiar account of the last financial crisis underlines the collapse of confidence and evaporation of trust which leaded to failure of corporate governance and easy money policy. Nor were these problems of recent origin; they were rooted in deep structural changes in the economy that date back many years. Financial innovations overheated the world economy and gained steam because of irrational exuberance over a risk free better future. Considering the evidence analyzed in this paper work, this approach of economic crisis through animal spirits puts forward new highlights of economic thought.

Keywords: animal spirits; economic crisis; financial innovations; risk bank; subprime credit.

Contents

The Confusion of Methods
Marin Dinu
1

Economics of Sustainable Development. Competitiveness and Economic Growth

Dorel AILENEI · Liviu-Cosmin MOSORA

2

The Particularities of the Economic Crisis in the Knowledge-Based Society

Ion IVAN · Marius POPA · Dragoş PALAGHITA · Bogdan VINTILĂ · Mihai DOINEA

3

Adverse Selection Models with Three States of Nature

Daniela MARINESCU · Dumitru MARIN

4

Sustaining an Effective ABC-ABM System

Gary COKINS · Sorinel CĂPUŞNEANU

5

Consequences of the Budget Deficit in the Current Crisis in Romania. Implications on the Labor Market

Gabriela MOLĂNESCU · Mirela Ionela ACELEANU

6

Portfolio Risk Analysis using ARCH and GARCH Models in the Context of the Global Financial Crisis

Oana Mădălina PREDESCU · Stelian STANCU

7

Costs of Adopting a Common European Currency. Analysis in Terms of the Optimum Currency Areas Theory

Aura Gabriela SOCOL

8

The Effects of Economic Geography on Education in Romania

Jesús LÓPEZ-RODRÍGUEZ · Andres FAIÑA · Cosmin-Gabriel BOLEA

9

Statistical – Econometric Analysis of the Correlations between the Social Security Budget and the Main Macroeconomic Aggregates in Romania

Emilia ŢIŢAN · Cristina BOBOC · Simona GHIŢĂ · Daniela TODOSE

10

Effects of the Current Economic Crisis on the Fiscal Variables in EU Countries

Iulian Viorel BRAŞOVEANU · Laura Obreja BRAŞOVEANU

11

The Image of the Tourism Destination – a Supporting Element in the Development of the Regional Tourism Brand Study Case: Muntenia

Aurelia-Felicia STĂNCIOIU · Nicolae TEODORESCU · Ion PÂRGARU · Anca-Daniela VLĂDOI · Codruţa BĂLTESCU

12

Economic Crises and the Complexity of Animal Spirits Modeling

Grigore PIROŞCĂ

13

An Epistemological Perspective on the Quality of Life Concept

George ŞERBAN-OPRESCU

14

The Natural Rate of Unemployment and its Implications for Economic Policy

Monica DOBRESCU · Claudia PAICU · Silvia IACOB

15

Estimation of Inflationary Expectations and the Effectiveness of Inflation Targeting Strategy

Amalia CRISTESCU · Mădălina Ecaterina ANDREICA

16

The Impact of Investments and Gross Value Added upon Earnings

Larisa APARASCHIVEI · Maria Denisa VASILESCU · Nicolae CĂTĂNICIU