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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 3 / 2018 (616), Autumn

Macroeconomic determinants of the labour share of income: Evidence from OECD economies

Ivan D. TROFIMOV
Kolej Yayasan Saad (KYS) Business School, Malaysia
Nazaria Md. ARIS
University of Malaysia, Sarawak, Malaysia
Muhammad Khairil Firdaus Bin ROSLI
University of Malaysia, Sarawak, Malaysia

Abstract. The study investigates the relationships between the labour share of income and several macroeconomic variables – the GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, as well as GDP gap and capacity utilization – in industrialised economies between 1960 and the 2010s. Three complementary hypotheses that relate macroeconomic determinants to the labour share dynamics are considered: 'overhead labour' hypothesis, 'realization theory/wage lag' hypothesis and the 'rising strength of labour' hypothesis. The study employs a sequential procedure: testing for the stationarity properties of the variables, using bounds test to identify the presence of cointegrating relationships, and estimating long-run relationships using ARDL or OLS methods. The results show that all three hypotheses are supported only in a limited number of economies, whilst in the majority of cases only certain relationships are prominent. On the whole, the GDP growth rate, the unemployment rate, and to a smaller extent capacity are found to be the principal determinants of the labour share, while change in the level of prices is of subsidiary importance.

Keywords: labour share; time series; macroeconomic determinants.

Contents

1

Private brand – differentiating concept and source of stimulation of the Romanian retail trade

Ion ANGHEL · Anca Maria HRISTEA

2

Macroeconomic determinants of the labour share of income: Evidence from OECD economies

Ivan D. TROFIMOV · Nazaria Md. ARIS · Muhammad Khairil Firdaus Bin ROSLI

3

Analysis of the investments made on the Romanian capital market by the privately managed pension funds – Pillar II

Alexandra DARMAZ-GUZUN

4

Exchange rate pass-through to macroeconomic indicators using Vector Auto Regression: Empirical evidence from Pakistan

Farhan AHMED · Muhammad OWAIS · Sandhya KUMARI · Rohit RAJJANI

5

Analysis of the educational activity in Romania

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL

6

Macroeconomic variables and stock prices in emerging economies: A panel analysis

Raghutla CHANDRASHEKAR · P. SAKTHIVEL · T. SAMPATH · Krishna Reddy CHITTEDI

7

Consumerism and exclusion in a throw-away culture

Alexandru TAŞNADI · Iustin Emanuel ALEXANDRU · Gheorghe USTINESCU · Petru Ciprian BRADU

8

The effects of microeconomic factors on the stock market: A panel for the stock exchange in Istanbul ARDL analysis

Khatereh SADEGHZADEH

9

Return, shock and volatility spillovers between the bond markets of Turkey and developed countries

Selçuk BAYRACI

10

Causal relationship between internet use and economic development for selected Central Asian economies

Fuat SEKMEN · Hasmet GOKIRMAK

11

Financial sector development and the poor in developing countries: revisiting the access to finance channel

Atul MEHTA · Joysankar BHATTACHARYA

12

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13

Base erosion and profit shifting in multinational corporations

Vedang Ratan VATSA