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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 1 / 2020 (622), Spring

Testing Wagner’s Law for sub-Saharan Africa: A panel cointegration and causality approach

Mustapha JOBARTEH
Department of Economics, University of Gambia

Abstract. Wagner’s law relates the positive relation between public spending and economic activity, where greater economic activity leads to increased public spending. Using Panel unit root, cointegration, Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Granger causality procedures this paper seeks to test the validity of Wagner’s law for a group of sixteen sub-Saharan African countries during the period 2002-2015. The findings show validity for Wagner’s law when “productive” government expenditure is taken as the measure of public spending. Compared to “productive” government expenditure, total government expenditure shows weaker evidence for the validity of Wagner’s law. Therefore governments in SSA should direct more spending towards productive expenditures if they seek to exploit growth benefits in the long run.

Keywords: Wagner’s law, Panel cointegration, Sub-Saharan Africa, FMOLS Granger Causality.

Contents

1

An approach to the use of cryptocurrencies in Romania using data mining technique

Nora CHIRIȚĂ · Ionuț NICA

2

Intellectual property rights, human capital and types of entrepreneurship in emerging and developing countries

Kamilia LOUKIL

3

Trade relation between India and other BRICS countries: A multidimensional approach using Gravity Model and Granger Causality

Dr. N. KUBENDRAN

4

Do the macroeconomic indicators influence foreign direct investment inflow? Evidence from India

Akhil SHARMA · Abdul RISHAD

5

Conceptual dimensions regarding the financial contagion and the correlation with the stock market in Romania

Ionuț NICA · Nora CHIRIȚĂ

6

An analysis of poverty among the informal workers of India

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7

Financial stress index, growth and price stability in India: Some recent evidence

Jayantee SAHOO

8

Testing Wagner’s Law for sub-Saharan Africa: A panel cointegration and causality approach

Mustapha JOBARTEH

9

A review of international Fisher’s effect focusing on inflation in Indian context for corporate decisions

Sharath AMBROSE · Dr. K.R. MANJUNATH

10

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13

The analysis of the international trade of Romania

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14

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