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No. 3 / 2026 — Autumn

Peer-reviewed articles in economics, finance, public policy, and sustainable development.

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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2020 (623), Summer

Causes of the curve: Assessing risk in public and private financial economics

Todd J. BARRY
Western Connecticut State University, USA

Abstract. Can bond yield curves, the Anxious Index, and/or institutional factors indicate if investors expect too much risk in the short-term, and therefore recessions? While hypothesizing that they can, yield curves may also be affected by shocks, inflation, debt, and maturity preferences, controlled for using both short-term, and wide-spanning, post-World War II regressions, in various countries. While these theories are found valid, the three main hypotheses are most presaging, and the effect of debt stands out, though dependent on savings. Finally, the article analyzes risk in financial institutions, finding that diversification of society can buffer risky, volatile finance institutions, and vice-versa.

Keywords: bonds, yield curve, Anxious Index, interest rate, debt, monetary policy.

Contents

1

Mathematical model used in substantiating optimal contract

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Dumitru MARIN · Dana Luiza GRIGORESCU

2

Examining the drivers of business cycle divergence between Euro Area and Romania

Ionuț JIANU

3

Migration, economic causes and decisions

Mircea Constantin ȘCHEAU · Ștefan Zaharie POP · Andreea Valentina ȘOIMU

4

The voluntary pension funds – a viable solution to supplement the pensioners' incomes

Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL · Dragoș Alexandru HAȘEGAN

5

An approach to measuring credit risk in a banking institution from Romania

Nora CHIRIȚĂ · Ionuț NICA

6

Study on the evolution of tourism and perspectives

Ștefan Virgil IACOB

7

Investigating personnel dynamics within SMEs: A survey analysis for the case of Romania

Mădălina Ecaterina POPESCU · Larisa STĂNILĂ · Maria Denisa VASILESCU

8

Causes of the curve: Assessing risk in public and private financial economics

Todd J. BARRY

9

An approach to the index of economic freedom using the data mining technique in the economic environment context

Ionuț NICA

10

Banking sector and bank liquidity – key actors within financial crises?

Dan Costin NIŢESCU · Florin Alexandru DUNĂ · Adriana Daniela CIUREL

11

Existence of rewards for a sustainable enterprise in the context of the human resources strategy

Constantin Ciprian IACOB · Nicolae MOROIANU

12

Do export, financial development, and institutions affect FDI outflows? Insights from Asian developing countries

Pragyanrani BEHERA · Prajukta TRIPATHY · Bikash Ranjan MISHRA

13

Are resources a curse or blessings? Evidence from panel ARDL model

Shakti Mohan TANDI · Prajna Paramita MISHRA

14

Investigating factors affecting cooperative and non-cooperative behavior: An experimental game in the classroom

Metin TETİK

15

Impact of exchange rate regimes on inflation: An empirical analysis of BRICS countries

Babu RAO G.

16

Tax structure and economic growth in general category states in India: A panel auto regressive distributed lag approach

Dillip Kumar MUDULI · Nityasundar MANIK

17

Banking Sector Reforms and the Goals of Nationalised Commercial Banks in India

Kubendran NARAYANASAMY

18

Determinants of economic growth in India: A time series perspective

Manoj Kumar DAS · Titiksha DAS

19

Impact of credit guarantee on the output gap: A panel data analysis of Asian sovereigns

Mohammad MUSTAFA

20

Analyzing the robustness of ARIMA and neural networks as a predictive model of crude oil prices

Sudhi SHARMA · Miklesh YADAV

21

Does the agriculture value-added contribute to the economic growth in 30 African countries?

Salah Eddine SARI HASSOUN · Abdelkader SAHED · Khayereddine Salim ADDA · Asma Hadjira SEBBANE