Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2020 (625), Winter
Predicting the volatility in stock return of emerging economy: An empirical approach
Kurukshetra University, Kurukshetra, India
Dr. Miklesh Prasad YADAV
Amity University, Noida, India
Abstract. Investors become jittery when they do not earn return on their hard earned money. In the same time, they want to make their investment in safe place rather than losing it. For better return, they also want to estimate the volatility in stock market. The basic purpose of the present study is to forecast the volatility in stock return of emerging economies. For the same, the adjusted daily closing price of eleven countries is considered for five years. Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) has been applied to predict the stock return of these countries. The different orders of GARCH have been applied in predicting the volatility. It is found that the volatility of every stock return can be forecasted.
Contents
The European Union in the face of the prospect of achieving major objectives in the conditions of the pandemic and economic-financial crisis
What determines the portfolio investment flows to Central and Eastern European Countries in the European Union 2001-2017?
Analysis of the correlation between taxation indicators and economic growth at the macroeconomic level in European Union and Romania
Measuring Adobe Company performance from the perspective of a Complex Adaptive System
Welfare enhancing uncertainty
Business process modeling. Using Unified Modeling Language to streamline the design of the TO-BE system within a company
Static and dynamic analysis of intra-industry trade of BRICS countries
Fossil fuel consumption, economic growth and CO2 emissions. Causality evinced from the BRICS world
Methods used in risk financing
Is there a relationship between economic welfare and innovation performance? Evidence from selected European countries
Analyzing Romania GDP: Final consumption, gross investment, and net exports influence compared to previously published models
Analysis of the natural movement of the population under the spectrum of the health crisis
On the relationship between economic growth and government debt for Bulgaria. Test of the Reinhart-Rogoff hypothesis
Testifying the role of regulatory environment in trade facilitation: Impact on intra-regional trade in South-Asia
India and trade blocs: A gravity model analysis
Predicting the volatility in stock return of emerging economy: An empirical approach
Portfolio optimization with VaR approach: A comparative analysis for Japan, London, New York and India
Income-dependent impacts of financial development and human capital on economic growth. A non-stationary panel analysis
Monetary policy and exchange rate pass-through in India
Impact of medium of instruction in education on economic growth and development
Institutions and economic growth: A comparative analysis of developing and developed countries based on institutionalized social technologies index
Exports, imports and economic growth in India: An empirical analysis
BEPS – A challenge for the increasing budget revenues in the process of digitalization
Implementation of public policies. The compatibility of the model of public policy with the target space of the policy
Fiscal sustainability in Romania