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No. 3 / 2026 — Autumn

Peer-reviewed articles in economics, finance, public policy, and sustainable development.

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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2025 (645), Winter

Co-movement and causality among exchange rates: a wavelet analysis

Tejesh H R
SUBN Theosophical Women’s College, India

Abstract. This paper investigates the dynamic co-movement and causality among the daily returns of four currency pairs: USD/INR, EUR/INR, GBP/INR, and JPY/INR, covering the period from 2000 to 2024. Using Wavelet Power Spectrum (WPS) and Wavelet Coherence Analysis (WCA), we explore the relationships and causal dynamics between these currency pairs across various time scales. Our findings reveal significant coherence among the currency pairs from 2008 to 2019, likely influenced by global events such as the 2008 financial crisis. The findings also reveal that the majority of the pairs exhibit positive and strong co-movement across different scales. Finally, bidirectional causality is observed between USD and EUR, while the other pairs exhibit either unidirectional causality or independent movements.

Keywords: co-movement, causality, exchange rates, returns, wavelet analysis.

Contents

1

Dynamic risk spillovers in European Stock Markets: a TVP-VAR Approach

Dan–Mihai DIMA

2

Co-movement and causality among exchange rates: a wavelet analysis

Tejesh H R

3

Financial development and economic growth in emerging economies: the mediating role of entrepreneurship

Ismail HERRAZ · Younes EL KHATTAB

4

House prices and macroprudential policy in the Romanian economy: evidence from a BVAR analysis

Mihai ALIMAN

5

The impact of short-run and long-run dynamics on manufacturing sector development in Indonesia and Malaysia

Bernadette ROBIANI · Doris Padmini SELVARATNAM · MUKHLIS · Deassy APRIANI · HAMIRA · Dirta Pratama ATIYATNA

6

Purchasing Power Parity theory in exchange rate determination: evidences from the G-20 nations

Ahmad ALHARBI · Moid U AHMAD · AK SINHA

7

Assessment of external macroeconomic imbalances in Romania

Ana-Maria ALBIȘORU · Florența-Larisa ILE

8

Remittances and domestic demand: evidence from Romania

Răzvan BUJOR

9

How do energy consumption, natural resources, trade openness and FDI affect environmental quality in Algeria? Fresh insights from the novel DYNARDL simulations and KRLS approach

Amina BENDAHMANE · Mohamed Driouche DAHMANI · Manel ATTOUCHI · Hicham BOUTALBI · Amina BERRARBI

10

The acceleration of education: professors, AI platforms and the transformation of learning and human growth

Raluca Iuliana GEORGESCU · Dumitru Alexandru BODISLAV · Ionuț Valeriu ANDREI

11

Poverty, unemployment, and mental health: differential impacts among university graduates in Kenya, South Africa, Uganda, and Zambia

Julius OKELLO

12

Assessing the relationship between institutions and economic development

Ioana-Daria BUTUNOI · Corina-Zenita BUZATU · Ionuț JIANU

13

Cedi depreciation and petroleum price shocks: economic interlinkages and macroeconomic implications

Emmanuel OSEI-DWOMOH · Joseph Kofi NKUAH · Gabriel Osei FORKUO

14

Effects of climate change on food security and sustainable development in Saudi Arabia: Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach

Nabil EL BAOUCHARI · Amany ELMAGHZANGY · Mounira RADDAOUI · Ayoub KHARBOUCHE

15

Corruption in digital environments

Dumitru Alexandru BODISLAV · Raluca Iuliana GEORGESCU

16

Beyond linearity: an ARDL threshold analysis of inflation's impact on Tanzania's economic growth from 1994 to 2024

Christopher MACHIBULA · Neema MFUGALE

17

Sustainable consumption and experimental economics – a bibliometric analysis

Viorela-Denisa STROE · Daria Elisa VUC

18

Heterogeneous and dynamic impacts of growth, urbanization, deforestation, and energy intensity on environmental degradation in Africa using the MM-Quantile regression method

Besma KIHAL

19

Institutional governance in developing countries, political factors as drivers of institutional change: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa

Porto BAZIE · Ibrahim OUEDRAOGO