Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2019 (619), Summer
Exchange rate regimes and its impact on growth: An empirical analysis of BRICS countries
Dr. Abdul Haq Urdu University, Kurnool, India
Abstract. Emerging market economies (EMEs) are increasingly important drivers of global economic growth, as witnessed by the substantial increases in their share of world output during the last four decades. The choice of an exchange rate regime is a recurring issue in international macroeconomics. Recently, the currency crisis in Asia, Russia, Brazil and Argentina has increased interest in this area and the effects of exchange rate regimes become even more important in developing countries. Hence, the purpose of this study is to revisit the effects of exchange rate regimes on Growth of BRICS countries. The data used for this research covers over the period from 1970 to 2012. This study finds that the Pegged exchange rate regimes are not much associated with better performance in terms of growth. In the growth performance, BRICS countries with Pegged regimes show significantly negative growth. Pegged regimes have significantly (-81%) lower growth in BRICS countries. The impact of Pegged regime on growth increases and the positive link between Pegged regimes and GDP growth can occur through a pegged regime’s price stability effect. Countries with Pegged regimes have lower real interest rates since pegged regimes act as an antiinflationary tool for monetary policy makers. Thus, low real interest rates lead to an increase in investment, and in the end, a high level of investment leads to higher levels of economic growth. Moreover, by adopting a pegged regime can promote trade for BRICS countries and lead to an increase in economic growth.
Contents
The education and training. Priorities of the European Union
Posted offers in exogenous networks: A theoretical application and experimental results
The role of Japan in the development of emerging markets in Asia. Key lessons learned for China
Empirical examination of the stability of expectations – Augmented Phillips Curve for developing and developed countries
The causality between economic growth and stock market in developing and developed countries: Toda-Yamamoto approach
Government failure vs. Market failure. The implications of incomplete information
Foreign direct investment and total factor productivity in South Asia
The effects of political and financial risks on foreign direct investments to the MENAT countries
Exploring the nexus between macroeconomic variables and stock market returns in Germany: An ARDL Co-integration approach
Income inequalities and economic convergence in CEE countries
Exchange rate regimes and its impact on growth: An empirical analysis of BRICS countries
Dynamics of business cycle and long-term economic growth of Pakistan
Per capita gross domestic product and welfare of Gabonese households: A VAR model with exogenous hypothesis
Co-integration with regime shift between government expenditure and poverty reduction in Algeria
Trade in a two sector endogenous growth model with two accumulating factors
What discriminates the welfare outcomes of children in India. A multiple discriminant analysis in selected states