Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 1 / 2023 (634), Spring
Uncertainty and monetary policy during the Covid-19 pandemic in Tunisia: Evidence from a Bayesian VAR
University of Sfax, Tunisia
Foued Badr GABSI
University of Sfax, Tunisia
Abstract. This paper aims to examine the impact of the uncertainty shock on the Tunisian economy and the effectiveness of monetary policy during the Covid-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we employ a Bayesian VAR model considering the world uncertainty index (WUI) as a new proxy for uncertainty measure and the short-term interest rate as the main instrument of monetary policy. The results indicate that the Covid-19 uncertainty shock has a negative consequence on economic activity and on aggregate demand in Tunisia. Moreover, we show that conventional monetary policy is ineffective in times of high uncertainty period.
Contents
Obstacles to innovation and policy implications: exploring the case of Romanian firms
Adjusting the 5C pentagon for better health policymaking: observing the leading behavioural risks factors (diet, smoking, and alcohol consumption)
Incentivizing CEOs via pay and forced turnover: Do tenure and managerial ability matter?
Forecasting the Romanian inflation rate: An Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (ARIMA) approach
The effects of geopolitical risks on tourism revenues of the Middle East and Asian countries
The potential of macroeconomic forces and ICT in affecting the sectorial growth: ARDL approach in the context of East Asian countries
Validity of asset pricing models in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) information technology index
Dynamic relationship between external debt and unemployment in Sub-Saharan Africa
An analysis of factors influencing empowerment of rural women through Deendayal Antyodaya Yojana – National Rural Livelihood Mission (SGSY)
The impact of Covid-19 payment moratoria on the Romanian banking system
Uncertainty and monetary policy during the Covid-19 pandemic in Tunisia: Evidence from a Bayesian VAR
Research on the evolution of migration in Romania after the fall of the communist regime
Black Sea and East Mediterranean approach on sustainable development
An economic analysis of trade war and deglobalization in current international relations within the paradigm of globalization
Financial difficulties and economic recession: Evidence from Canadian seniors
Inflation targeting and exchange rate pass-through in India: Lessons from international experience
The circular economics of constructions
Market mood index and stock market. Evidence from National Stock Exchange
Analysis of the effects of social and fiscal policy on incomes during the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania