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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2017 (611), Summer

Using the input-output model in macroeconomic analysis and forecasting studies

Constantin ANGHELACHE
The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania
„Artifex” University of Bucharest, Romania
Alexandru MANOLE
„Artifex” University of Bucharest, Romania
Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL
„Artifex” University of Bucharest, Romania

Abstract. In this article the authors present the main aspects of a country's macroeconomic system. It shows that it is a complex structured economic sectors (pure sectors). Also it makes reference to the free market, placing the problem of identifying the interaction of market forces. Inside the national economy there is an intermediate consumption that is showing the amount consumed by branch "c" from all other branches. Input fields are used in this respect in order to show that at a macroeconomic level the model is complex, on the basis of the model calculation and analysis of economic is performed. On the basis of coefficients the existence and intensity of links between branches of national economy is determined. It is important to establish the how aggregation of branches is taking place. The number of branches and the concentration degree are subordinate requirements of study links and proportions that are performed in an economic activity. Aggregation of activities in order to establish the branches used for creating input-output tables is made according to several criteria such as: product identification, common destination of the finished product, similarity raw materials consumed or technological processes and likeness of quantitative structure cost price of production.

The branches for the balance should be homogeneous and represent a grouping of homogeneous production units.

Keywords: forecasting, production, intermediary consumption, technology, coefficient, matrix.

Contents

1

The role of fiscal policy in the financial crisis. Challenges and solutions

Aura Gabriela SOCOL · Roxana Mirela FERARU

2

Using the input-output model in macroeconomic analysis and forecasting studies

Constantin ANGHELACHE · Alexandru MANOLE · Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL

3

Panel causality analysis between exchange rates and stock indexes for fragile five

Mehmet PEKKAYA · Ersin AÇIKGÖZ · Veli YILANCI

4

Modeling of stock indices with HMM-SV models

E.B. NKEMNOLE · J.T. WULU

5

The impact of private sector credit on income inequalities in European Union (15 member states)

Ionuţ JIANU

6

Economic freedom, economic growth and international tourism for post-communist (transition) countries: A panel causality analysis

Ceyhun Can OZCAN · Murat ASLAN · Saban NAZLIOGLU

7

The main correlations between the monetary-banking indicators

Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL · Constantin ANGHELACHE · Ana CARP

8

Impact of governance on budget deficit in developing countries

Salih BARIŞIK · Abdullah BARIS

9

Private equity market developments in central and Eastern Europe

Mihaela DIACONU

10

Public-Private Partnerships for clean energy investment in developing and emerging economies: Allocating risks and sharing rewards

Hilmar Þór HILMARSSON

11

Science is measurement, yet not all sciences can be evaluated using the same measurement

Vlad NERĂU

12

The effects of real exchange rates and income on the trade balance: A second generation panel data analysis for transition economies and Turkey

Sevgi SEZER

13

Child policy changes and estimation of income distribution effects

Eva MILITARU · Amalia CRISTESCU

14

An enquiry into the dynamics of real oil prices: A state space approach

Jaweriah HAZRANA · Aaisha NAZRANA

15

Wage inequalities in Romania under successive adjustments in minimum wage levels

Mădălina Ecaterina POPESCU · Eva MILITARU

16

An examination of bilateral J-curve: Evidence from Turkey and her 20 major trading partners

Şerife ÖZŞAHİN

17

Do military expenditures converge in NATO countries? Linear and nonlinear unit root test evidence

Selahattin GÜRİŞ · Burak GÜRİŞ · Muhammed TIRAŞOĞLU

18

Impact of GDP and tax revenue on health care financing: An empirical investigation from Indian states

Deepak Kumar BEHERA · Umakant DASH

19

The relation between foreign direct investments and some economic indicators. The case of Romanian economy

Mirela PANAIT · Cătălin VOICA

20

Economic freedom and foreign direct investment in South Asian countries

Sadia IMTIAZ · Malik Fahim BASHIR

21

New software for identification and evaluation of environmental and waste management in the companies

Rodica BUCUROIU · Marius Gabriel PETRESCU

22

An analysis of the effect of monetary policy changes on macroeconomic factors

Moid U. AHMAD · Shamima NASRIN

23

The costs of Brexit for UK economy

Andrei HREBENCIUC